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AP EAMCET2014MathematicsProbability

A candidate takes three tests in succession and the probability of passing the first test is p . The probability of passing each succeeding test is p or p 2 according as he passes or fails in the preceding one. The candidate is selected, if he passes atleast two tests. The probability that the candidate is selected, is

Options

  1. Ap^2(2-p)
  2. Bp(2-p)
  3. Cp+p^2+p^3
  4. Dp^2(1-p)

Correct answer

A. p^2(2-p)

Step-by-step solution

Required probability = Probability of passing two test + Probability of passing all three test =P (passing I and II tests and fail in third test) +P (passing Ist test, fail in II test and passing in IIIrd test) + P (fail in I test, passing in IInd and IIIrd tests) +P (passing in all three tests) aligned & =n p q+p q p 2 +q p 2 p+p p p & =p^2(1-p)+p(1-p) p 2 +(1-p) p^2 2 +p^3 & =p^2 (1-p+ 1 2 - p 2 + 1 2 - p 2 +p )=p^2(2-p) aligned

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