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JEE Advanced 2019Paper 1
Exam
JEE Advanced
Year
2019
Paper
Paper 1
Subject
Mathematics
Chapter
Probability

JEE Advanced 2019 · Paper 1 · Mathematics · Probability

There are three bags B _ 1 , B _ 2 and B _ 3 . The bag B _ 1...

There are three bags B1,B2{B}_{1}, {B}_{2} and B3.{B}_{3} . The bag B1{B}_{1} contains 55 red and 55 green balls, B2{B}_{2} contains 33 red and 55 green balls, and B3{B}_{3} contains 55 red and 33 green balls, Bags B1,B2{B}_{1}, {B}_{2} and B3{B}_{3} have probabilities 310,310\dfrac{3}{10}, \dfrac{3}{10} and 410\dfrac{4}{10} respectively of being chosen. A bag is selected at random and a ball is chosen at random from the bag. Then which of the following options is/are correct?

Options

  1. AProbability that the selected bag is B3{B}_{3} and the chosen ball is green equals 310\dfrac{3}{10}
  2. BProbability that the chosen ball is green equals 3980\dfrac{39}{80}
  3. CProbability that the chosen ball is green, given that the selected bag is B3,{B}_{3}, equals 38\dfrac{3}{8}
  4. DProbability that the selected bag is B3,{B}_{3}, given that the chosen balls is green, equals 513\dfrac{5}{13}

Correct answer

B. Probability that the chosen ball is green equals 3980\dfrac{39}{80}

Step-by-step solution

Let us define following events
B1{B}_{1} : Event of selection of bag 11 ( 55 Red, 55 Green)
B2{B}_{2} : Event of selection of bag 22 ( 33 Red, 55 Green)
B3{B}_{3} : Event of selection of bag 33 ( 55 Red, 33 Green)
R=R = Event of selection of Red ball
G=G = Event of selection of Green ball
Option (C)( C ) :
P(GB3)=38P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{3}}\right) = \dfrac{3}{8} (as bag 33 has been selected now total balls in bag 3=8,3 = 8, green ball =3= 3 )
Option (B)( B ) :
P(G)=P(B1)P(GB1)+P(B2)P(GB2)+P(B3)P(GB3)P\left(G\right) = P\left({B}_{1}\right)P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{1}}\right) + P\left({B}_{2}\right)P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{2}}\right) + P\left({B}_{3}\right)P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{3}}\right)
=310×510+310×58+410×38= \dfrac{3}{10} \times \dfrac{5}{10} + \dfrac{3}{10} \times \dfrac{5}{8} + \dfrac{4}{10} \times \dfrac{3}{8}
=3980= \dfrac{39}{80}
Option (D)( D ) :
P(B3G)=P(B3∩G)P(G)P\left(\dfrac{{B}_{3}}{G}\right) = \dfrac{P\left({B}_{3} \cap G\right)}{P\left(G\right)}
=P(B3)P(GB3)P(G)= \dfrac{P\left({B}_{3}\right)P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{3}}\right)}{P ( G )}
=410×383580(∴P(G)=3980)= \dfrac{\dfrac{4}{10} \times \dfrac{3}{8}}{\dfrac{35}{80}}\left(∴ P\left(G\right) = \dfrac{39}{80}\right)
=413= \dfrac{4}{13}
Option (A)( A ) :
P(B3∩G)=P(B3)P(GB3)P\left({B}_{3} \cap G\right) = P\left({B}_{3}\right)P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{3}}\right)
P(B3∩G)=P(B3)P(GB3)P\left({B}_{3} \cap G\right) = P\left({B}_{3}\right)P\left(\dfrac{G}{{B}_{3}}\right)
=320= \dfrac{3}{20}

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