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JEE Advanced 2016Paper 1
Exam
JEE Advanced
Year
2016
Paper
Paper 1
Subject
Mathematics
Chapter
Probability

JEE Advanced 2016 · Paper 1 · Mathematics · Probability

A computer producing factory has only two plants T _ 1 and T _ 2 ....

A computer producing factory has only two plants T1and{T}_{1} and{T}_{2}.Plant. Plant{T}_{1}producesproduces20 %andplantand plant{T}_{2}producesproduces80 %ofthetotalcomputersproduced.of the total computers produced.7 %ofcomputersproducedinthefactoryturnouttobedefective.Itisknownthat,</p><p>of computers produced in the factory turn out to be defective. It is known that, </p><p>P(computerturnsouttobedefectivegiventhatitisproducedinplant(computer turns out to be defective given that it is produced in plant{T}_{1})</p><p>)</p><p>= 10P(computerturnsouttobedefectivegiventhatitisproducedinplant(computer turns out to be defective given that it is produced in plant{T}_{2}).</p><p>Where,).</p><p>Where,P(E)P\left(E\right) denotes the probability of an event E.E . A computer produced in the factory is randomly selected and it does not turn out to be defective. Then the probability that it is produced in plant T2{T}_{2} is

Options

  1. A3673\dfrac{36}{73}
  2. B4779\dfrac{47}{79}
  3. C7893\dfrac{78}{93}
  4. D7583\dfrac{75}{83}

Correct answer

C. 7893\dfrac{78}{93}

Step-by-step solution

P(T1)=20100P\left({T}_{1}\right) = \dfrac{20}{100}

P(T2)=80100P\left({T}_{2}\right) = \dfrac{80}{100}

Let, P(DT2)=xP\left(\dfrac{D}{{T}_{2}}\right) = x (where, DD represents defective units)

P(DT1)=10xP\left(\dfrac{D}{{T}_{1}}\right) = 10x

P(D)=7100P\left(D\right) = \dfrac{7}{100} (given)

P(T1)P(DT1)+P(T2)P(DT2)=7100P\left({T}_{1}\right)P\left(\dfrac{D}{{T}_{1}}\right) + P\left({T}_{2}\right)P\left(\dfrac{D}{{T}_{2}}\right) = \dfrac{7}{100}

20100×10x+80100×x=7100\dfrac{20}{100} \times 10x + \dfrac{80}{100} \times x = \dfrac{7}{100}

x=140x = \dfrac{1}{40}

P(DT2)=140P\left(\dfrac{D}{{T}_{2}}\right) = \dfrac{1}{40}

⇒P(D−T2)=3940=⇒ P\left(\overset{-}{D}{T}_{2}\right) = \dfrac{39}{40} =Probability of not defective, given that it is produced in plant T2{T}_{2}

P(DT1)=1040⇒P(D−T1)=3040P\left(\dfrac{D}{{T}_{1}}\right) = \dfrac{10}{40} ⇒ P\left(\overset{-}{D}{T}_{1}\right) = \dfrac{30}{40}

Now using Bayes' theorem

Probability of computer from T2{T}_{2} given that it is not defective :

P(T2D−)=80100×394020100×3040+80100×3940=7893P\left({T}_{2}\overset{-}{D}\right) = \dfrac{\dfrac{80}{100} \times \dfrac{39}{40}}{\dfrac{20}{100} \times \dfrac{30}{40} + \dfrac{80}{100} \times \dfrac{39}{40}} = \dfrac{78}{93}

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