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JEE Advanced 2012Paper 1
Exam
JEE Advanced
Year
2012
Paper
Paper 1
Subject
Mathematics
Chapter
Probability

JEE Advanced 2012 · Paper 1 · Mathematics · Probability

A ship is fitted with three engines E_ 1 , E_ 2 and E_ 3 . The...

A ship is fitted with three engines E1,E2E_{1}, E_{2} and E3E_{3}. The engines function independently of each other with respective probabilities 12,14\frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{4} and 14\frac{1}{4}. For the ship to be operational at least two of its engines must function. Let XX denote the event that the ship is operational and let X1,X2X_{1}, X_{2} and X3X_{3} denote respectively the events that the engines E1,E2E_{1}, E_{2} and E3E_{3} are functioning. Which of the following is(are) true?

Options

  1. AP[X1c∣X]=316\left[X_{1}^{c} \mid X\right]=\frac{3}{16}
  2. BPP [Exactly two engines of the ship are functioning [X]=78[X]=\frac{7}{8}
  3. CP[X∣X2]=516\left[X \mid X_{2}\right]=\frac{5}{16}
  4. DP[X∣X1]=716\left[X \mid X_{1}\right]=\frac{7}{16}

Correct answer

B. PP [Exactly two engines of the ship are functioning [X]=78[X]=\frac{7}{8}

Step-by-step solution

Given that P(X1)=12,P(X2)=14,P(X3)=14P(X)=PP\left(X_{1}\right)=\frac{1}{2}, \mathrm{P}\left(X_{2}\right)=\frac{1}{4}, \mathrm{P}\left(X_{3}\right)=\frac{1}{4} P(X)=P (at least 2 engines are functioning) =P(X1∩X2∩X3C)+P(X1∩X2C∩X3)+P(X1C∩X2∩X3)+P(X1∩X2∩X3)\begin{aligned}=P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2}\right.&\left.\cap X_{3}^{C}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2}^{C} \cap X_{3}\right) \\ &+P\left(X_{1}^{C} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right) \end{aligned}=\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}=\frac{1}{4}(a)(a)P\left(X_{1}^{C} / X\right)=\frac{P\left(X_{1}^{C} \cap X\right)}{P(X)}=\frac{P\left(X_{1}^{C} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right)}{P(X)} =\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}}{\frac{1}{4}}=\frac{1}{8} \therefore(a)isnottrue.(b)(a) is not true. (b)P[Exactlytwoenginesarefunctioning[Exactly two engines are functioning/ X] =\frac{P[(\text{ Exactly two engines are functioning }) \cap X]}{P(X)} =\frac{P\left(X_{1}^{C} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2}^{C} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}^{C}\right)}{P(X)} =\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4}}{\frac{1}{4}}=\frac{7}{8} \therefore(b)istrue.(c)(b) is true. (c)P\left(X / X_{2}\right)=\frac{P\left(X \cap X_{2}\right)}{P\left(X_{2}\right)} =\frac{P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1}^{C} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}^{C}\right)}{P\left(X_{2}\right)} =\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4}}{\frac{1}{4}}=\frac{5}{8} \therefore(c)isnottrue.(d)(c) is not true. (d)P\left(X / X_{1}\right)=\frac{P\left(X \cap X_{1}\right)}{P\left(X_{1}\right)} =\frac{P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2}^{C} \cap X_{3}\right)+P\left(X_{1} \cap X_{2} \cap X_{3}^{C}\right)}{P\left(X_{1}\right)} =\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4}}{\frac{1}{2}}=\frac{7}{16} \therefore$ (d) is true.
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