NDA 2026
- Exam
- NDA
- Year
- 2026
- Subject
- Mathematics
- Chapter
- Probability
NDA 2026 · Mathematics · Probability
In an entrance test there are multiple choice questions. There are...
In an entrance test there are multiple choice questions. There are four options for each question, of which only one is correct. The probability that a student knows the answer to a question is . If he gets the correct answer to a question, then what is the probability that he was guessing ?
Options
- A
- B
- C
- D
Correct answer
C.
Step-by-step solution
Let be the event that the student knows the answer and be the event that the student guesses the answer.
Let be the event that the student gets the correct answer.
From the given information:
If the student knows the answer, the probability of getting it correct is , so .
If the student guesses, since there are options with only one correct, .
The probability that the student was guessing given that the answer is correct is .
Using Bayes' theorem:
Answer:
Let be the event that the student gets the correct answer.
From the given information:
If the student knows the answer, the probability of getting it correct is , so .
If the student guesses, since there are options with only one correct, .
The probability that the student was guessing given that the answer is correct is .
Using Bayes' theorem:
Answer: