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BITSAT 2013
Exam
BITSAT
Year
2013
Subject
Mathematics
Chapter
Probability

BITSAT 2013 · Mathematics · Probability

For k=1,2,3 the box B_ k contains k red balls and (k+1) white...

For k=1,2,3k=1,2,3 the box Bk\mathrm{B}_{k} contains kk red balls and (k+1)(k+1) white balls. Let P\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}_{1}\right)=\frac{1}{2}, \mathrm{P}(B2)=13\left(\mathrm{B}_{2}\right)=\frac{1}{3} and P(B3)=16.A\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}_{3}\right)=\frac{1}{6}. \mathrm{A} box is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. If a red ball is drawn, then the probability that it has come from box B2,\mathrm{B}_{2}, is

Options

  1. A3578\frac{35}{78}
  2. B1439\frac{14}{39}
  3. C1013\frac{10}{13}
  4. D1213\frac{12}{13}

Correct answer

B. 1439\frac{14}{39}

Step-by-step solution

In⁡\operatorname{In} a box, B1=1R,2W;B2=2R,3WandB3=3R,4WB_{1}=1 R, 2 W ; B_{2}=2 R, 3 W and B_{3}=3 R, 4 W Also, given that, P(B1)=12,P(B2)=13\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}_{1}\right)=\frac{1}{2}, \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{B}_{2}\right)=\frac{1}{3} and  P(B3)=16∴P(B2R)=P(B2)P(RB2)P(B1)P(RB1)+P(B2)P(RB2)+P(B3)P(RB3)=13×2512×13+13×25+16×37=21516+215+114=1439.\begin{aligned}& \text{\text{ and } }P\left(B_{3}\right)=\frac{1}{6}\\ \therefore \quad & P\left(\frac{B_{2}}{R}\right)=\frac{P\left(B_{2}\right) P\left(\frac{R}{B_{2}}\right)}{P\left(B_{1}\right) P\left(\frac{R}{B_{1}}\right)+P\left(B_{2}\right) P\left(\frac{R}{B_{2}}\right)+P\left(B_{3}\right) P\left(\frac{R}{B_{3}}\right)}\\ =& \frac{\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{2}{5}}{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{3}+\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{2}{5}+\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{3}{7}}=\frac{\frac{2}{15}}{\frac{1}{6}+\frac{2}{15}+\frac{1}{14}}=\frac{14}{39} . \end{aligned}$$
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