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NDA 2024
Exam
NDA
Year
2024
Subject
Mathematics
Chapter
Probability

NDA 2024 · Mathematics · Probability

Urn A contains 2 white and 2 black balls while urn B contains 3...

Urn A contains 2 white and 2 black balls while urn B contains 3 white and 2 black balls. One ball is transferred from urn A to urn B and then a ball is drawn out of urn B. What is the probability that the ball is white?

Options

  1. A1120\frac{11}{20}
  2. B712\frac{7}{12}
  3. C1020\frac{10}{20}
  4. D1

Correct answer

B. 712\frac{7}{12}

Step-by-step solution

From the given information
E1=\mathrm{E}_1= One white ball transferred from A to B then urn A contains White =1=1, Black =2=2 and urn B contains White =4=4, Black =2E2==2\mathrm{E}_2= One Black ball transferred from A to B then urn A contains White =2=2, Black =1=1 and urn B contains White =3=3, Black =3F==3\mathrm{F}= One white ball is drawn from urn B . ∴P(F)=P(E1)⋅P(F/E1)+P(E2)⋅P(F/E2)=24×46+24×36=824+624=1424=712\begin{aligned} & \therefore \quad \mathrm{P}(\mathrm{ F})=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_1\right) \cdot \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{ F} / \mathrm{E}_1\right)+\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_2\right) \cdot \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{ F} / \mathrm{E}_2\right) \\ & =\frac{2}{4} \times \frac{4}{6}+\frac{2}{4} \times \frac{3}{6}=\frac{8}{24}+\frac{6}{24}=\frac{14}{24}=\frac{7}{12} \end{aligned}
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